Week 5 - By Mappy
A tour of Europe again....hold on tight
A small profit from last week but with Nadal 2 sets down it could of been a helluva lot worse.....we will thank our lucky stars but also reflect that in all of the games we bet on we managed to win 3 out fo 15 tie breaks......I think the luck evened itself out. Anyway here are the tips for this week
Gaz de France Stars, Hasselt
Very little tips will be given for this event. Kim Clijsters is a 2/1 ON favourite, so we're going to leave her alone because although she's likely to win the value is just not there. So, looking at the bottom half of the draw we're going to try to find someone who will maybe get to the final and we can lay her back then. This bet goes to Francesca Schiavone, who has been in great form this past month.
Grand Prix de Tennis, Lyon
Again the seedings for this tournament are just a joke with the main contenders all being placed in the top half of the draw. There will be some big seed casualties in early rounds in the bottom half. Robby Ginepri has probably the hardest draw on the main guys and is the reason we will be opposing him. Although, he was knocked out early last week our money is again backing Andy Roddick. After his 2nd round loss to Ivo Karlovic last week he played some doubles (with James Blake), so he has had some match practice.
St. Petersburg Open
We're quite happy to take on the top seed here as well. Davydenko has not been in great form of late and the price is worth taking. His first couple of matches are reasonably straight-forward, but in the QF he will likely have to play Nicolas Kiefer, who had a great Moscow Open.
Generali Linz
Amelie Mauresmo is the top seed here and after two early exits in the past two tournaments there's no way we'll be backing here this week. In fact we're happy to take on both the top seeds this week and will also be laying Elena Dementieva, who will have a hard first match against Vera Zvonareva. Our money will be going on the 3rd seed Nadia Petrova. She has the easiest draw on the major players by far as she is receiving a bye in the 1st round, a qualifier in the 2nd and then she's already in the QF
Swiss Indoor, Basel
This tournament sees the first meeting of Henman and Murray. The old against the new. The bookies can't pick a winner, but we're happy to take Murray over Henman. If Henman serves and volleys (as we suspect he will) Murray's quality of return of serve should be able to pick him off. We'll also be laying both Coria and Ferrero to win the tournament. Coria has only won 1 title this year (on clay) and Ferrero hasn't won any, so at these prices both players are worth taking on. If Nalbandian gets through his first match against Karlovic we will look to back him to win the tournament.
Recommended Tips
Results
- Gaz de France Stars, Hasselt
- LOSE 3pts - Back Schiavone to win the tournament for 3pts @ 12
- WIN 1.28pts - Back Craybas to beat Sucha in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.64
- LOSE 2pts - Back Loit to beat Tu in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.76
- Total = -6.72pts
- Grand Prix de Tennis, Lyon
- WIN 9.9pts - Back Roddick to win the tournament for 3pts @ 4.3
- WIN 2pts - Lay Ginepri to win the tournament for 2pts @ 11.5
- LOSE 2pts - Back Clement to beat Gaudio in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.99
- LOSE 3pts - Back Blake to beat Ancic in 1st round match for 3pts @ 1.58
- WIN 1.64pts - Back Enqvist to beat Carraz in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.82
- LOSE 3pts - Back Malisse to beat Llodra in 1st round match for 3pts @ 1.52
- LOSE 2pts - Back Dent to beat Santoro in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.85
- LOSE 2pts - Back Benneteau to beat Mahut in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.1
- WIN 1.5pts - Back Rochus to beat Djokovic in 2nd round match for 3pts @ 1.5
- WIN 1.52pts - Back Monfils to beat Gaudio in 2nd round match for 2pts @ 1.76
- WIN 1.48pts - Back Spadea to beat Llodra in 2nd round match for 2pts @ 1.74
- WIN 1.8pts - Back Spadea to win 2nd round match against Llodra 2-0 for 1pts @ 2.8
- LOSE 2pts - Back Spadea to beat Santoro in QF match for 2pts @ 2.18
- Total = +5.84
- St. Petersburg Open
- WIN 13.5pts - Back Johannsson to win the tournament for 3pts @ 5.5
- WIN 2pts - Lay Davydenko to win the tournament for 2pts @ 3.85
- WIN 2pts - Lay Rusedski to win the tournament for 2pts @ 10.5
- WIN 2.2pts - Back Stakhovsky to beat Popp in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.1
- WIN 1.74pts - Back Youzhny to beat Beck in 1st round match for 3pts @ 1.58
- LOSE 2pts - Back Philipoussis to beat Verdasco in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.72
- LOSE 2pts - Back Tursunov to beat Rusedski in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.1
- WIN 2pts - Lay Carlsen to win 2nd round match against Stakhovsky 2-0 for 2pts @ 2.5
- WIN 2pts - Lay Kiefer to win 2nd round match against Melzer 2-0 for 2pts @ 2.1
- WIN 3pts - Lay Rusedski to win 2nd round match against Kim 2-0 for 3pts @ 1.75
- WIN 1.59pts - Back Youzhny to beat Saulnier in 2nd round match for 3pts @ 1.53
- WIN 1.5pts - Back Johansson to beat Rusedski in QF match for 3pts @ 1.5
- Total = +27.53
- Generali Linz
- WIN 19.8pts - Back Petrova to win the tournament for 3pts @ 7.6
- WIN 2pts - Lay Dementieva to win the tournament for 2pts @ 3.85
- LOSE 2pts - Back Zvonareva to beat Peschke in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.84
- LOSE 2pts - Back Likhovtseva to beat Sugiyama in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.76
- WIN 1.92pts - Back Hantuchova to beat Martinez in 2nd round match for 3pts @ 1.64
- WIN 2.16pts - Back Peschke to beat Sugiyama in QF match for 2pts @ 2.08
- WIN 1.86pts - Back Ivanovic to beat Golovin in QF match for 3pts @ 1.62
- Total = +23.74
- Swiss Indoor, Basel
- LOSE 1pt - Back Hrbarty to win the tournament for 1pt @ 17
- WIN 2pts - Lay Coria to win the tournament for 2pts @ 7.2
- WIN 2pts - Lay Ferrero to win the tournament for 2pts @ 8.2
- WIN 1pt - Lay Henman to win the tournament for 1pt @ 17
- LOSE 1pt - Back Murray to win the tournament for 1pt @ 17
- LOSE 2pts - Back Zib to beat Berrer in 1st round match for 2pts @ 1.97
- WIN 3pts - Back Mayer to beat Moodie in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.5
- LOSE 2pts - Back Massu to beat Acasuso in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.36
- WIN 2.2pts - Back Murray to beat Henman in 1st round match for 2pts @ 2.1
- LOSE 1pt - Back Novak to beat Srichaphan in 2nd round match for 1pts @ 3.2
- LOSE 1.8pts - Lay Srichaphan to win 2nd round match against Novak 2-0 for 2pts @ 1.9
- WIN 1.92pts - Back Hrbaty to beat Calleri in 2nd round match for 3pts @ 1.64
- WIN 1.68pts - Back Murray to beat Berdych in 2nd round match for 2pts @ 1.84
- LOSE 2pts - Back Acasuso to beat Baghdatis in QF match for 2pts @ 2.02
- WIN 2pts - Lay Gonzalez to win QF match against Murray 2-0 for 2pts @ 2.7
- Total = +5
FINAL TOTAL = +55.39pts
Old Articles:
TOTAL = +87.01pts
email: mappy@calvstar.co.uk